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Tenured Professor at
The Open University of Japan

PROJECT I
Findings Using mdbUA

Examples of analysis using mdbUA shown below demonstrate the efficacy of this method.

Has Osaka Declined in Strength?
According to a generally accepted argument, globalization from the 80’s lowered Osaka’s status compared to that of Tokyo. If you take a closer look at the population change in time-series based on the administrative units of Osaka prefecture and Kobe-city, it is obvious that the Great Hanshin Earthquake resulted in the plummet of Kobe’s population in 1995. However, when it is combined with Osaka’s population, the decrease is not noticeable.


population change of Osaka Prefecture  population change of Kobe City  polulation change of the sum total

In contrast, by tracking back the meshed data of the urban areas defined here at our lab using mdbUA2010, we have clearly captured the population decline in 1985-1995 when the existing statistical report using the official administrative units, namely, Osaka prefecture and Kobe-city failed to do so.


population change of mdbUA2010: Osaka=Kobe

When applied in the same manner on Tokyo and Nagoya regions, population track-back analysis returned the stagnation of the populations in those two areas during 1990-1995 when the bubble burst.

    population change of mdbUA2010: Tokyo      population change of mdbUA2010: Nagoya

As demonstrated above, the efficacy of the demarcation of urban areas by mdbUA is clear.

Our Analysis Using Economic Census

Our analysis, in the same manner, instead of the national census, using the Economic Census that encompasses the number of enterprises/establishments and employees is as introduced below.

In Japan, analysis using the Economic Census is also common, besides that which used the national census. This dataset helps us confirm the dynamics of the number of enterprises/establishments and employees in urban areas during the given period. Thus the developments and declines of industrial compositions can be clarified. This elucidates what sectors constitute the region’s industry and what sectors were withdrawn from the frontline.

Introduced here are the findings on the vicissitudes of industries and their significance in the three largest urban areas in Japan.

The Rise and Fall of the Manufacturing Industry

In the three largest urban areas, the decline of the manufacturing industry is salient. During 1986-2006, the number of manufacturing businesses and employees reduced almost by half in every urban area. Although Sassen’s report on Tokyo in the 1980’s revealed Tokyo’s manufacturing industry experienced relatively minor decreases in comparisons with that of New York and London, it seems Tokyo also subsequently underwent the same rapid decline of manufacturing sector.

However, in Chukyo-region, which is home for TOYOTA , the decline of manufacturers was limited. It was especially so in Toyota , Anjo-Kariya-Chiryu and Okazaki. Plus the growth of the service sector is evident in those areas. It shows that the limitation of the manufacturing industry decline allowed the following growth of the service sector in the region.

Tokyo’s Development Remained High with ICT Industry

Despite the rapid decline of the manufacturing industry, Tokyo maintained its high growth, owing to the service sector’s development. The growth of the service sector was not so much accounted for by the expansions of producer services (such as business consultants, finance and legal business or accounting business) catering to global enterprises but the growth was because of the ICT sector’s development.

Osaka’s Difficulties

The ICT industry does not need the geographic dispersal of its bases. Instead concentration serves better for its growth. This nature of ICT businesses lead to excess concentration in Tokyo and also explaine the decline in Osaka. Among the three largest urban areas, Osaka is said to face the most drastic decline of growth. Currently the only growth observed in Osaka is the service industry of medicine/welfare.

The Significance of mdbUA2010 Based Analysis

The significance of time-series analysis based on mdbUA2010 is evident as explained above. In order to further advance analysis and its promotion, for those who agree to share the knowledge, we are willing to send the mdbUA dataset. Please feel free to contact us via email.


ConTAct us AT

Prof. Kazushi Tamano
2-11 Wakaba Mihama-ku
Chiba-City, Chiba, Japan 261-8586
(The Open University of Japan)

tamano@k.email.ne.jp